Most booking mistakes don’t happen when people choose the wrong hotel or overpay for a tour. They happen in the first ten minutes, when someone opens a flights tab, finds a cheap outbound fare, books it immediately, and then figures out the rest. The return flight gets added later - sometimes days later - and by then the price has moved, the dates no longer line up cleanly, and the whole trip has been quietly distorted by that first impulsive decision.
The return flight is the constraint that makes everything else legible. It tells you how many nights you actually have, which affects whether an expensive hotel is worth spreading across the stay or whether you need to find somewhere cheaper. It tells you whether you can realistically reach that second city, or whether you’ve been fantasy-planning a trip that requires one more day than you booked.
The outbound flight is flexible. The return almost never is.
Outbound flights have more options. You can usually find alternatives on nearby dates without the price swinging wildly. The return is different - particularly for popular routes in peak season, or anywhere with limited frequency. Lock in the return first, then shop backwards. You’ll find you have more flexibility on the outbound than you expected, and far less panic about the homeward leg.

This also applies to trips built around events: a festival, a public holiday window, a specific exhibition. Everyone is trying to leave on the same two or three days. Book the return the moment you commit to going. The outbound fares will still be there.
One thing people consistently underestimate
The cost of changing a return flight. Budget carriers charge amendment fees that can approach the price of rebooking entirely, and flexible fare upgrades at checkout often look expensive until you’ve paid a change fee once. If your itinerary has any genuine uncertainty - a visa that hasn’t arrived yet, a job situation in flux - either buy the flexibility upfront or accept that the date you choose is the date you’re committed to.
There’s a broader principle underneath all of this: the open-jaw trip, where you fly into one city and out of another, is frequently cheaper and almost always more interesting than flying in and out of the same airport. But that structure only works if you plan from the return end. Which city do you want to finish in? Work forward from there.
The outbound fare is the one that feels exciting to book. The return is the one that determines whether the trip actually functions.